--- title: "Bitcoin's Breakaway Chain Has Mined the Same Two Blocks Since Saturday" published: 2026-08-10T02:10:34.339551+00:00 type: market_pulse scope: crypto_market canonical: https://moonwire.org/insights/market-pulse-2026-08-09.html tags: [bitcoin, bip-110, fork, protocol-security, clarity-act, altcoin-rotation] --- # Bitcoin's Breakaway Chain Has Mined the Same Two Blocks Since Saturday > The BIP-110 split stopped being an argument and became arithmetic: the breakaway branch still had the same two blocks nearly twelve hours after it forked, while the main chain ran from seven blocks ahead to more than eighty. Each reading of its support landed near zero, and three more of Bitcoin's items in the window ran through its software - a Lightning exploit, a repository audit, a wallet-creation spike - rather than its price. ## Key takeaways - Bitcoin's BIP-110 branch had mined two blocks at 6 p.m. ET Saturday [[1]](/s/YmydyDSLS1ac4j_aqnuorg) and still had two blocks by Sunday morning, while the gap to the main chain widened from seven blocks to more than eighty [[2]](/s/LfDZyZe-T6SbKdY4wT7tKw). - The readings ran on different denominators - 2.53% of blocks signaling in the previous difficulty period [[1]](/s/YmydyDSLS1ac4j_aqnuorg), about 0.15% of hashpower [[2]](/s/LfDZyZe-T6SbKdY4wT7tKw), miner signaling stuck near 0% and roughly 1,109 short of the 55% activation threshold fourteen days in [[3]](/s/SnIQXqmKSmmBITbLwsSq2w) - and none of them left the branch a contest. - Bitcoin's window also ran through code: BTCPay Server restricted remote Lightning connections after an exploit moved funds [[4]](/s/-dVzUulGQr6BX6dNMPZC1g), and an AI-assisted scan of 150 Bitcoin repositories turned up more than a dozen vulnerabilities [[5]](/s/rPlDl4alS_eV7NKjb5m4TQ). - Attention rotated to individual names instead - Curve and Convex from CredibleCrypto [[6]](/s/zDY1ae1OQjOljD9fyAThrA), Pump.fun from Ansem and Pentosh1 [[8]](/s/s1uEucTYSn-e8kmEJci4Ig) [[9]](/s/NZ2D6oAaRgeZh9EsorK-hw). - The US market-structure bill now has a floor date: cloture filed for a September 15 Senate vote that needs 60 votes, with ethics, illicit-finance and Agriculture Committee text unresolved [[1]](/s/YmydyDSLS1ac4j_aqnuorg). Bitcoin's BIP-110 split stopped being an argument and became arithmetic inside a single evening: the breakaway branch was still sitting on the same two blocks it had when it forked, while the chain it left ran from seven blocks ahead of it to more than eighty. The Block reported that nodes enforcing the BIP-110 proposal split onto a minority chain on Saturday after rejecting a block the main network accepted, that the fork "had produced two blocks and fallen seven blocks behind as of 6 p.m. ET," and that only 2.53% of blocks signaled support during the previous difficulty period [[1]](/s/YmydyDSLS1ac4j_aqnuorg). Just under twelve hours later, at 09:45 UTC on Sunday, Michael Saylor posted his own count: "about 99.85% of Bitcoin's hashpower stayed with Bitcoin. The BIP-110 branch mined only two blocks and is already more than 80 blocks behind" [[2]](/s/LfDZyZe-T6SbKdY4wT7tKw). Two blocks in the first report; two blocks in the second. The distance grew by roughly seventy blocks in between, which is about what Bitcoin's ten-minute target produces on its own over that stretch. Read from the outside, that is what a chain that has stopped mining looks like: the gap widens at the rate the network it left keeps working. The rest of Saylor's thread put a horizon on it. "At ~0.15% of Bitcoin's hashpower, BIP-110 must mine 2,015 more blocks before its first difficulty adjustment. At today's rate, that is ~25 years" [[2]](/s/LfDZyZe-T6SbKdY4wT7tKw). Asked directly whether that meant miners control Bitcoin, he answered "No," adding that "virtually all the miners, exchanges, custodians, wallets, holders, markets, and economic infrastructure chose Bitcoin over BIP-110" and that "consensus emerges from the network" [[2]](/s/LfDZyZe-T6SbKdY4wT7tKw). Cointelegraph took the same question from the activation side: BIP-110's mandatory signaling period is fourteen days in, miner support is "stuck near 0%", roughly 1,109 signals short of the 55% needed for activation [[3]](/s/SnIQXqmKSmmBITbLwsSq2w). The readings ran on different denominators - share of blocks signaling in a difficulty period, share of hashpower, distance from an activation threshold - and none of them left the branch a contest. ## Bitcoin's day had a second thread, and it ran through code BTCPay Server restricted public remote connections to Lightning nodes after attackers exploited a critical vulnerability to obtain credentials and move funds [[4]](/s/-dVzUulGQr6BX6dNMPZC1g). Decrypt carried the Bitcoin Red Team's finding that an AI-assisted scan of 150 Bitcoin repositories turned up more than a dozen vulnerabilities [[5]](/s/rPlDl4alS_eV7NKjb5m4TQ). And Cointelegraph, citing Santiment, reported 2.27 million new wallets and 751,000 active wallets, attributing the surge to "the Coldcard chaos" driving users to move funds and rethink custody [[3]](/s/SnIQXqmKSmmBITbLwsSq2w). A protocol split, a payments-server exploit, a repository audit and a wallet-creation spike: four of this window's Bitcoin items ran through the software rather than through the price. ## Attention rotated to individual names, and Bitcoin was not one of them Measured against the previous window, Bitcoin's share of the conversation fell hard while Curve and Pump.fun climbed. CredibleCrypto published a Curve and Convex video and spent his follow-ups on the same pair, describing the move as "just the first wave of a much larger 5 wave move to new all time highs" [[6]](/s/zDY1ae1OQjOljD9fyAThrA) [[7]](/s/luujX3wCSN6FcaVQyIXYAQ). Ansem opened a Pump.fun thread built on the platform's business rather than its chart - "top 3 moneymaker in crypto, $2B in cash" [[8]](/s/s1uEucTYSn-e8kmEJci4Ig) - and Pentosh1 posted his own Pump.fun read, flagging the ICO price as "likely the stickiest place" because holders with monthly unlocks may want out around there [[9]](/s/NZ2D6oAaRgeZh9EsorK-hw). On Solana, Ansem wrote that it "looks good, stuck between two major weekly support & resistance levels, consolidating after failing to breakdown from range" [[10]](/s/yfqUo8aBRXmuBSnNjSuZew). ## The policy clock now has a date The US market-structure bill has a floor date. The Block reported that Majority Leader John Thune filed cloture on the motion to proceed to the Clarity Act, setting up a September 15 Senate vote one day after lawmakers return from recess, with cloture requiring 60 votes and disputes over ethics, illicit finance and Senate Agriculture Committee text still unresolved [[1]](/s/YmydyDSLS1ac4j_aqnuorg). Decrypt carried the same step [[5]](/s/rPlDl4alS_eV7NKjb5m4TQ). ## Where the room agreed, and who took the other side On the fork, the readings above point one way. On direction they did not: the tone across the voices we track leaned bearish on Bitcoin this window, and one voice on the other side was Ansem's, who reposted a clip of himself arguing that early pushback from Crypto Twitter has often preceded the opposite outcome, over the comment "hated rally" [[11]](/s/31s1YEm8Qt-D2C7uaNt2YA). --- *MoonWire surfaces and summarizes public crypto news.* **General information only — not financial advice.** MoonWire Ltd. is not licensed by ASIC and holds no AFSL. This content does not consider your objectives, financial situation, or needs, and is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any asset. *This analysis is generated by artificial intelligence and may be inaccurate, incomplete, or fabricated. 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