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Solana: the near-term split closes as all three timeframes turn down, with a monthly efficiency ratio of 0.98

Jul 13, 2026 · SOL

Solana's 3D trend has rolled back over to down, closing the cross-timeframe split our compute showed a week ago - the read is now aligned_down on 3D, 1W and 1M. The monthly efficiency ratio is 0.98, effectively a straight-line move and the most directional reading anywhere in our set, with price 41% below the monthly 20-EMA at 126.60.

The read: the split closed, and the monthly is the most one-way chart we track

Solana trades at 74.96. Two things define this snapshot.

First, the cross-timeframe split has closed. A week ago our compute had SOL as the only asset off aligned_down, with the near-term turned up against a falling monthly. The 3D now reads down again, and multi_tf_alignment is back to aligned_down — 3D, weekly and monthly all pointing the same way. SOL was the sole exception across our coverage; it no longer is.

Second, the monthly efficiency ratio is 0.981. That is as close to a straight line as this measure gets: nearly every unit of path travelled went in the same direction, with almost no retracement along the way. It is the most directional reading of any timeframe on any asset we track this week — for contrast, BTC's monthly is 0.66 and ETH's is 0.70. The monthly trend is down and its strength strong.

Trend across the stack

Timeframe 20-EMA Price vs EMA Trend Strength RSI(14) Efficiency ratio Momentum
3D 76.65 -2.2% down weak 45.7 0.05 neutral
1W 79.26 -5.4% down moderate 39.2 0.40 bearish
1M 126.60 -40.8% down strong 40.5 0.98 bearish

The stack is a clean gradient: weak and directionless up close (3D efficiency ratio 0.05, price barely 2% under its own 20-EMA), moderate on the weekly, and overwhelmingly directional on the monthly, where price sits 41% below the 20-EMA — the widest price-to-average gap of the three assets we cover.

The 3D momentum reading is neutral (RSI 45.7) — the only non-bearish momentum reading anywhere in our set this week. Conventionally that is read as near-term momentum having flattened out, while the weekly (39.2) and monthly (40.5) remain bearish and the higher-timeframe trend is untouched by it.

Levels and zones — a thin structure

The monthly ATR(14) is 40.90 — against a spot price of 74.96, a single average monthly bar spans more than half the current price. Every level above is framed by that scale.

Sources & assets

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